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12 Predictions for the Future of Technology | Vinod Khosla | TED

TED

195.3K Views . 2024-06-08

Techno-optimist Vinod Khosla believes in the world-changing power of "foolish ideas." He offers 12 bold predictions for the future of technology — from preventative medicine to car-free cities to planes that get us from New York to London in 90 minutes — and shows why a world of abundance awaits. If you love watching TED Talks like this one, become a TED Member to support our mission of spreading ideas: https://ted.com/membership Follow TED! X: https://twitter.com/TEDTalks Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ted Facebook: https://facebook.com/TED LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/ted-conferences TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@tedtoks The TED Talks channel features talks, performances and original series from the world's leading thinkers and doers. Subscribe to our channel for videos on Technology, Entertainment and Design — plus science, business, global issues, the arts and more. Visit https://TED.com to get our entire library of TED Talks, transcripts, translations, personalized talk recommendations and more. Watch more: https://go.ted.com/vinodkhosla https://youtu.be/Pj9QnO9rZkE TED's videos may be used for non-commercial purposes under a Creative Commons License, Attribution–Non Commercial–No Derivatives (or the CC BY – NC – ND 4.0 International) and in accordance with our TED Talks Usage Policy: https://www.ted.com/about/our-organization/our-policies-terms/ted-talks-usage-policy. For more information on using TED for commercial purposes (e.g. employee learning, in a film or online course), please submit a Media Request at https://media-requests.ted.com #TED #TEDTalks

The speaker, a techno-optimist, argues that experts often stifle progress because they focus on linear thinking and are afraid of the improbable. In contrast, entrepreneurs are more willing to embrace the improbable and pursue bold visions, ultimately leading to more groundbreaking advancements.

techno-optimism
experts vs. entrepreneurs
improbable ideas
innovation

  • Experts focus on the past and linear thinking, hindering radical progress. Entrepreneurs, on the other hand, dream big and make improbable dreams come true.
  • Most expertise, including healthcare, education, and various other fields, will be nearly free thanks to AI and abundant computing power. This will lead to a world with more free time and less reliance on labor-intensive jobs.

Insights from the Techno-Optimist's Speech:

1. Why Experts Fail to See the Future: This speech argues that experts, bound by their knowledge of the past, often fail to predict the future. They are too focused on extrapolating trends rather than imagining radical, nonlinear possibilities.

2. The Power of Improbable Dreams: The speaker believes that true innovation arises from "improbable dreams" – visions that seem foolish or impossible to those entrenched in existing paradigms. Entrepreneurs, driven by passion and a willingness to be foolish, are the ones who bring these dreams to life.

3. The Lack of Expert-Driven Social Change: This speech makes a compelling argument that large

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