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12 Predictions for the Future of Technology | Vinod Khosla | TED

TED

148.9K Views . 2024-06-08

Techno-optimist Vinod Khosla believes in the world-changing power of "foolish ideas." He offers 12 bold predictions for the future of technology — from preventative medicine to car-free cities to planes that get us from New York to London in 90 minutes — and shows why a world of abundance awaits. If you love watching TED Talks like this one, become a TED Member to support our mission of spreading ideas: https://ted.com/membership Follow TED! X: https://twitter.com/TEDTalks Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ted Facebook: https://facebook.com/TED LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/ted-conferences TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@tedtoks The TED Talks channel features talks, performances and original series from the world's leading thinkers and doers. Subscribe to our channel for videos on Technology, Entertainment and Design — plus science, business, global issues, the arts and more. Visit https://TED.com to get our entire library of TED Talks, transcripts, translations, personalized talk recommendations and more. Watch more: https://go.ted.com/vinodkhosla https://youtu.be/Pj9QnO9rZkE TED's videos may be used for non-commercial purposes under a Creative Commons License, Attribution–Non Commercial–No Derivatives (or the CC BY – NC – ND 4.0 International) and in accordance with our TED Talks Usage Policy: https://www.ted.com/about/our-organization/our-policies-terms/ted-talks-usage-policy. For more information on using TED for commercial purposes (e.g. employee learning, in a film or online course), please submit a Media Request at https://media-requests.ted.com #TED #TEDTalks

The speaker, a techno-optimist, believes that experts often hinder progress by focusing on the past and failing to consider improbable possibilities. Instead, entrepreneurs who dream big and try to achieve those implausible dreams are more likely to drive innovation. The speaker argues that the improbable, not the probable, will have the most significant impact on the future.

techno-optimism
entrepreneurship
innovation
experts
improbable

  • Experts are too focused on the past and don't think outside of linear progression, preventing radical progress.
  • Entrepreneurs are the ones who dream big and try to make improbable dreams a reality, which is necessary for true innovation.

Insights from the Techno-Optimist:

1. Experts vs. Entrepreneurs: Who Drives Innovation?

The speaker argues that true innovation is driven by entrepreneurs with a vision, not experts who extrapolate from the past. He claims that in his 40 years of experience, he can't think of a single large social impact change driven by an expert, apart from biotechnology. This raises the question: Is the fear of the unknown and the inherent conservatism of experts a barrier to radical progress?

2. The Implausible Future: A World of Free Expertise and Abundance

The speaker envisions a future where most expertise, from doctors to engineers, is readily available and accessible thanks to AI. He predicts

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